"Dems Likely Win the House" — Seth Keshel's 2026 Midterm Forecast | Jenny Beth Show
The Jenny Beth ShowApril 08, 202600:07:15

"Dems Likely Win the House" — Seth Keshel's 2026 Midterm Forecast | Jenny Beth Show

Seth Keshel's 2026 midterm forecast is based on 92 years of data — and Republicans are running out of time to change the outcome.

Former Army intelligence captain Seth Keshel correctly called all 56 electoral outcomes in 2024. Now he's turning that same analytical eye on 2026 — and the numbers are sobering. In 20 of 23 midterms since 1934, the President's Party has lost House seats. The average loss: 27 seats. Keshel's current math puts Democrats winning between 220 and 229 House seats if the election were held today.

But the bigger revelation in this clip: Keshel explains why some Republican senators and House members actually prefer being in the minority. In the minority, they can go full red meat, raise more money, get more media hits — and never have to actually govern. It's a structural dysfunction that's killing the SAVE America Act right now.

Seth Keshel is a former U.S. Army intelligence captain, election data analyst, and author of "The American War on Election Corruption: The Crusade to Restore Trust and Voting," featuring a foreword by Newt Gingrich.

If Republicans are going to hold the House, the time to act is now. Demand your senators pass the SAVE America Act: 202-224-3121
Learn more at passthesaveamericaact.com

00:00 — Seth's 2026 midterm forecast and historical data
02:10 — House math: Dems likely 220-229 seats
03:50 — Arizona Senate race and Katie Hobbs
04:50 — Conservative self-sabotage and the Wisconsin 2024 lesson
06:12 — Why Republicans prefer being in the minority

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