South Carolina Senate Runoff & the Fake Poll That Fooled the Press | Pfaff, Connelly
The Jenny Beth ShowAugust 24, 2026x
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01:23:1376.23 MB

South Carolina Senate Runoff & the Fake Poll That Fooled the Press | Pfaff, Connelly

Guests: Jim Pfaff and Chad Connelly, with Robert McNeely

Jim Pfaff is the president of The Conservative Caucus and a recurring guest on this show. He spent roughly thirty years on Capitol Hill and around national politics, and he convened the private meetings that became the House Freedom Caucus, sitting in the room as the only staffer.

Chad Connelly is the founder of Faith Wins, an organization that has registered more than two million new evangelical voters over the last two election cycles, and the former chairman of the South Carolina Republican Party. He joins from a pastors' meeting in South Carolina the day before the runoff.

Robert McNeely, a former broadcaster and a regular contributor to the show, joins for the closing Rapid Round.

Key topics:

  • The South Carolina special primary runoff, and how many votes actually decide a United States Senate seat in late August
  • Chad Connelly's turnout model: 265,000 projected, 342,000 delivered, and what early voting at 104 percent of the primary means
  • The endorsement split, with President Trump, Governor Henry McMaster and Majority Leader John Thune on one side and Senators Mike Lee and Rick Scott on the other
  • Why Tea Party Patriots Citizens Fund endorsed Ralph Norman after polling its South Carolina supporters
  • The debate answer on national security, the audible gasp in the room, and why honesty is not the same as readiness
  • Frustration with the Senate over the SAVE America Act, the Safeguard American Voter Eligibility Act, and John Thune's vote count
  • Senator Chris Van Hollen on whether Democratic Socialists belong in the Democratic Party, and what he said about accepting their endorsement
  • Chad Connelly on recruiting and training poll watchers and poll workers, and why the parties keep signing people up and never following through
  • Jim Pfaff on Republicans conceding the argument instead of fighting for an eighty percent issue
  • John McCain suspending his campaign for the bailout vote, the stimulus that followed, and where the Tea Party movement came from
  • Milton Friedman answering Phil Donahue on greed, and the rise of government greed
  • Treasury and the Internal Revenue Service proposing that four refundable tax credits are federal public benefits under the 1996 welfare reform law
  • Enes Kanter Freedom entering the 2027 Women's National Basketball Association draft, and getting removed from a game in Chicago
  • Data centers as a live campaign issue, small nuclear power generation, and why the old industrial power plants disappeared
  • Elon Musk's plan to put data centers in orbit
  • The fake polling firm, the 23.5-point miss in Wisconsin, and the four questions to ask before you believe any poll
  • How to sign up as a poll worker or a poll watcher, and the difference between them
  • The national debt crossing 40 trillion dollars, and what that works out to per household

Timestamps:

00:02 — Cold open: fewer than 400,000 voters pick a senator

03:32 — The panel: Jim Pfaff and Chad Connelly

04:24 — An August runoff nobody is watching

05:46 — Why Tea Party Patriots Citizens Fund endorsed Ralph Norman

07:25 — President Trump's endorsement against Senator Mike Lee's

10:46 — The debate clip: national security is not her thing

15:17 — What South Carolina said about that debate

18:10 — What changes the day after Labor Day

19:54 — Senator Chris Van Hollen on Democratic Socialists in his party

24:53 — Chad Connelly: Christian eyeballs on the process

27:44 — Jim Pfaff on Republicans conceding the argument

34:02 — John McCain, the bailout, and the campaign he threw away

37:03 — Where the inflation actually came from

42:15 — Milton Friedman on greed, and government greed

48:04 — Rapid Round: Robert McNeely joins

48:23 — Treasury and the Internal Revenue Service move on four tax credits

50:17 — Enes Kanter Freedom and the Chicago Sky

54:47 — Data centers, power generation, and the election

01:03:39 — Elon Musk wants the data centers in space

01:06:09 — The fake poll that fooled the press

01:11:10 — Four questions to ask about any poll

01:13:09 — The call to action: poll workers and poll watchers

01:18:19 — The national debt crosses 40 trillion dollars

Links mentioned:

  • Sign up to be a poll worker or a poll watcher: HelpAtThePolls.com
  • The show: jennybethshow.com
  • Tea Party Patriots Action: teapartypatriots.org
  • Capitol switchboard: 202-224-3121